Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Berga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
11%
MediumconfidenceRäppe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Berga are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Berga hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely result in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, favouring Berga with 11.3% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Berga
Probability
72.8%
Model confidence
11.3%
Berga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RäppeDLDWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BergaWWLWL
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RäppeBerga
33.3Attack68.8
37.5Defence58.3
27.1Form56.3
34.7Power60.3
0.85xG2.59