GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 2/18/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Royal Pari · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Royal Pari are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Atlético Palmaflor are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Royal Pari hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Primera División, while Royal Pari holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Royal Pari

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Royal Pari has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Royal PariLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Atlético PalmaflorWL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Royal PariAtlético Palmaflor
41.7Attack33.3
44.8Defence38.5
36.5Form30.2
42.8Power35.9
1.69xG1.00
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