ROW Rybnikvs
Stal Brzeg
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ROW Rybnik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ROW Rybnik 4-3 Stal Brzeg
Original prediction
ROW Rybnik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 51.9% | 43.6% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 24.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 23.8% | 32.0% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
ROW Rybnik
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
ROW Rybnik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20