GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ROW Rybnik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

ROW Rybnik 2-1 Ślęza Wrocław

Original prediction

ROW Rybnik

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4661.8%72.1%10.3 pts
Draw4.3420.8%14.4%-6.4 pts
Away5.1917.4%13.4%-4.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

10.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.4–18%
  3. 3.2–17%

Predicted outcome

ROW Rybnik

Probability

72.1%

Model confidence

72.1%

ROW Rybnik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ROW RybnikWWDDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ślęza WrocławWDLLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ROW RybnikŚlęza Wrocław
69.7Attack51.5
45.5Defence21.2
51.5Form30.3
54.6Power36.3
3.75xG1.47
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