Rouenvs
Valenciennes
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/3/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rouen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rouen 1-0 Valenciennes, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rouen 1-1 Valenciennes
Original prediction
Rouen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.1% | 53.3% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.4% | 25.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.5% | 20.8% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Projected Score
Rouen 1–0 Valenciennes
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Rouen
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Rouen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RouenWWWDW
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ValenciennesDLWLD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RouenValenciennes
58.3Attack25.0
91.7Defence50.0
83.3Form33.3
78.6Power37.8
1.71xG0.66