Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rouen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Rouen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nimes are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nimes hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Ligue 3, while Rouen holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rouen
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Rouen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50