Rouenvs
Bourg-en-bresse 01
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 10/3/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rouen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rouen 2-0 Bourg-en-bresse 01, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rouen 2-0 Bourg-en-bresse 01
Original prediction
Rouen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.4% | 54.9% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.5% | 25.0% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 6.45 | 14.1% | 20.0% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Projected Score
Rouen 2–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Rouen
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Rouen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RouenLWWDW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bourg-en-bresse 01DDLLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
RouenBourg-en-bresse 01
62.5Attack20.8
79.2Defence45.8
70.8Form20.8
70.6Power32.8
2.22xG0.41