Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rouen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rouen 1-0 Aubagne, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rouen 1-0 Aubagne
Original prediction
Rouen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.0% | 61.0% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.0% | 23.6% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 5.30 | 17.0% | 15.4% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
Rouen 1–0 Aubagne
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Rouen
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Rouen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RouenWDWWW
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AubagneLDWLL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
RouenAubagne
66.7Attack16.7
88.9Defence61.1
77.8Form22.2
77.0Power35.4
1.74xG0.53