Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orel · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rotor-2 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Orel are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Orel hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (30.7 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Second League - Group 3, while Orel holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orel
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
13.8%
Orel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40