Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rotor-2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rotor-2 2-0 Kvant
Original prediction
Rotor-2
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 62.3% | 51.9% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.3% | 23.7% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 5.26 | 17.4% | 24.4% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Rotor-2
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Rotor-2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rotor-2LDLLL
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KvantLLLLL
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rotor-2Kvant
20.0Attack35.0
46.7Defence1.7
18.3Form10.0
31.2Power20.1
1.42xG1.00