Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rotherham · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rotherham are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tranmere are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rotherham hold a 39.2-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Rotherham holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rotherham
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Rotherham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60