Rotherhamvs
Newcastle United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/8/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rotherham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rotherham are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Newcastle United U21 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rotherham hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Rotherham holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rotherham
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Rotherham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40