Rotherhamvs
Mansfield Town
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 8/20/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rotherham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rotherham are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mansfield Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rotherham hold a 25.0-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Rotherham holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rotherham
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Rotherham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00