Rotherhamvs
Manchester City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rotherham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Rotherham are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Manchester City U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rotherham hold a 45.6-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Rotherham holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rotherham
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
67.4%
Rotherham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60