Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bradford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rotherham are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bradford are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 81.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Bradford holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bradford
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40