GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rot-weiss Oberhausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 4-0 (10%), 5-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rot-weiss Oberhausen 3-1 FC Bocholt

Original prediction

Rot-weiss Oberhausen

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6854.2%79.3%25.1 pts
Draw4.0122.7%11.4%-11.4 pts
Away3.9523.0%9.3%-13.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

25.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.4–110%
  2. 2.4–010%
  3. 3.5–19%

Predicted outcome

Rot-weiss Oberhausen

Probability

79.3%

Model confidence

79.3%

Rot-weiss Oberhausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rot-weiss OberhausenWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC BocholtLLWDL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Rot-weiss OberhausenFC Bocholt
84.8Attack72.7
72.7Defence21.2
84.8Form39.4
80.2Power46.9
4.50xG1.03
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