Rot-weiss Essenvs
Würzburger Kickers
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rot-weiss Essen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rot-weiss Essen 6-2 Würzburger Kickers
Original prediction
Rot-weiss Essen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.2% | 44.4% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.0% | 25.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.33 | 20.8% | 30.1% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Rot-weiss Essen
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Rot-weiss Essen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80