GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SW Essen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Rot-weiss Essen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SW Essen are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SW Essen hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while SW Essen holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SW Essen

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

SW Essen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rot-weiss EssenWLWWW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SW EssenLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Rot-weiss EssenSW Essen
95.8Attack100.0
41.7Defence66.7
58.3Form66.7
63.4Power72.0
2.25xG2.32
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