Rot-weiss EssenvsHamburger SV

Rot-weiss Essen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hamburger SV are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamburger SV hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the DFB Pokal, while Hamburger SV holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.