Rot-weiss Essenvs
FC St. Pauli
SCHEDULEDGermany · DFB Pokal · 8/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rot-weiss Essen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rot-Weiß Essen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC St. Pauli are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the DFB Pokal, favouring Rot-Weiß Essen with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rot-weiss Essen
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
13.5%
Rot-weiss Essen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00