Rot-Weiß EssenvsErzgebirge Aue

Rot-Weiß Essen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Erzgebirge Aue are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Erzgebirge Aue hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the 3. Liga, while Erzgebirge Aue holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.