GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 7/28/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rot-weiss Erfurt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Rot-weiss Erfurt are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Hansa Rostock II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rot-weiss Erfurt hold a 44.3-point power-rating edge (82.5 v 38.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.8% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while Rot-weiss Erfurt holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rot-weiss Erfurt

Probability

74.8%

Model confidence

74.8%

Rot-weiss Erfurt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rot-weiss ErfurtLLDWD

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hansa Rostock IIDWLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rot-weiss ErfurtHansa Rostock II
100.0Attack45.1
75.0Defence36.3
83.3Form27.5
82.5Power38.2
2.96xG0.90
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