Rot-weiss ErfurtvsFSV Mainz 05 II

Rot-weiss Erfurt are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FSV Mainz 05 II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FSV Mainz 05 II hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (20.8 v 41.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rot-weiss Erfurt holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.