GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 8/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Köln II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Rot Weiss Ahlen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Köln II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Köln II hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (30.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Regionalliga - West, while Köln II holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Köln II

Probability

64.1%

Model confidence

64.1%

Köln II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rot Weiss AhlenLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Köln IILWWLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rot Weiss AhlenKöln II
36.3Attack50.0
22.5Defence66.7
24.5Form66.7
30.7Power64.8
1.00xG2.38
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