GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/29/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Rot-Weiß Walldorf are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Friedberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 59.1-point power-rating edge (13.7 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

59.0%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rot-Weiß WalldorfLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 19 · avg 1.20/3.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FriedbergLWWLD

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rot-Weiß WalldorfFriedberg
22.2Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form77.8
13.7Power72.8
1.29xG2.46
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