GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/3/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rot-Weiß Walldorf are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fernwald are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 35.2-point power-rating edge (13.7 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rot-Weiß WalldorfWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
FernwaldLWDLW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rot-Weiß WalldorfFernwald
22.2Attack41.7
0.0Defence58.3
0.0Form41.7
13.7Power48.8
1.38xG2.00
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