GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/10/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rot-Weiß Walldorf are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Fernwald are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 35.2-point power-rating edge (13.7 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rot-Weiß WalldorfLLDLW

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FernwaldWWWDL

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rot-Weiß WalldorfFernwald
22.2Attack41.7
0.0Defence58.3
0.0Form41.7
13.7Power48.8
1.38xG2.00
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