GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/13/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rot-Weiß Walldorf are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Baunatal are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Baunatal hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (13.7 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rot-Weiß WalldorfLDWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
BaunatalDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rot-Weiß WalldorfBaunatal
22.2Attack22.2
0.0Defence44.4
0.0Form11.1
13.7Power29.5
1.63xG1.79
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