Rot-weiss Essenvs
Hansa Rostock
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/20/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rot-weiss Essen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rot-weiss Essen 1-1 Hansa Rostock
Original prediction
Rot-weiss Essen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.0% | 51.0% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 21.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.6% | 27.4% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Rot-weiss Essen
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Rot-weiss Essen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60