Rot-weiss Essenvs
FC Viktoria Koln
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/5/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rot-weiss Essen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rot-weiss Essen 1-0 FC Viktoria Koln
Original prediction
Rot-weiss Essen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.8% | 38.7% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.4% | 24.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.8% | 36.5% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Rot-weiss Essen
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Rot-weiss Essen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00