Rot-Weiß Essenvs
FC St. Pauli
COMPLETEDGermany · DFB Pokal · 8/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC St. Pauli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rot-Weiß Essen 2-0 FC St. Pauli
Original prediction
FC St. Pauli
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
FC St. Pauli
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
FC St. Pauli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rot-Weiß EssenWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FC St. PauliDDDLW
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Rot-Weiß EssenFC St. Pauli
100.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form83.3
32.0Power81.2
1.59xG2.67