Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rostov · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rostov are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Yenisey W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rostov hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (21.2 v 17.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Supreme Division Women, while Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rostov
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
14.3%
Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00