Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ryazan W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rostov are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ryazan W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ryazan W hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (21.2 v 29.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Supreme Division Women, while Ryazan W holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ryazan W
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
14.9%
Ryazan W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40