GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 9/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rostov U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rostov U19 0-0 Spartak Moskva U19

Original prediction

Rostov U19

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3139.2%39.9%0.7 pts
Draw3.3327.1%25.4%-1.8 pts
Away2.6933.7%34.7%1.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–18%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.2–28%

Predicted outcome

Rostov U19

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Rostov U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rostov U19LWWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Spartak Moskva U19WLLDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rostov U19Spartak Moskva U19
55.6Attack57.1
38.1Defence39.7
47.6Form46.0
48.9Power48.6
2.21xG1.98
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