GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/13/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Heidenheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Rostocker FC are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 2.75 scored and 2.25 conceded, while FC Heidenheim are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Heidenheim hold a 50.5-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the DFB Pokal, while FC Heidenheim holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Heidenheim

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

FC Heidenheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rostocker FCLWWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.75/2.25

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
FC HeidenheimWDWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Rostocker FCFC Heidenheim
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
7.0Power57.5
1.63xG2.36
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