GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ST Johnstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ross County are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while ST Johnstone are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and ST Johnstone hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Premiership, while ST Johnstone holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ST Johnstone

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

ST Johnstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ross CountyLDWWW

GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ST JohnstoneLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ross CountyST Johnstone
36.7Attack66.7
43.3Defence33.3
34.2Form50.0
40.0Power53.0
1.17xG1.67
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