Ross Countyvs
Queen of the South
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ross County · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ross County 8-0 Queen of the South
Original prediction
Ross County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 71.2% | 70.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.17 | 17.5% | 17.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 8.00 | 11.3% | 12.4% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Ross County
Probability
70.3%
Model confidence
70.3%
Ross County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00