Ross Countyvs
East Kilbride
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 8/29/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ross County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ross County 4-0 East Kilbride
Original prediction
Ross County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.6% | 47.8% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.5% | 24.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 4.78 | 18.9% | 27.4% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Ross County
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Ross County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60