Ross Countyvs
Alloa Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ross County · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ross County 1-0 Alloa Athletic, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ross County 4-1 Alloa Athletic
Original prediction
Ross County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 70.7% | 62.2% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.26 | 17.4% | 22.6% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 7.71 | 11.9% | 15.2% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Projected Score
Ross County 1–0 Alloa Athletic
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ross County
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
Ross County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 29 · GA 4 · avg 5.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40