Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roskilde · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Roskilde 3-0 Skive
Original prediction
Roskilde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.4% | 45.5% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 28.2% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 24.0% | 26.3% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Roskilde
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Roskilde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RoskildeWDWDW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SkiveWLWDD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RoskildeSkive
60.0Attack43.3
66.7Defence60.0
60.0Form46.7
63.2Power51.9
1.60xG0.77