Roskildevs
Fremad Amager
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roskilde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Roskilde 4-0 Fremad Amager
Original prediction
Roskilde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.9% | 49.7% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.9% | 26.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.29 | 21.2% | 24.1% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Roskilde
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Roskilde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60