Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roskilde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Roskilde are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.00 conceded, while FA 2000 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Roskilde hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the 2. Division, while Roskilde holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Roskilde
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Roskilde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 1.40/0.00
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60