GGOALVIO

Sweden · Damallsvenskan · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rosengård W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rosengård W 1-0 Piteå W

Original prediction

Rosengård W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9346.6%41.0%-5.6 pts
Draw3.4026.5%27.5%1.0 pts
Away3.3526.9%31.5%4.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

Rosengård W

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Rosengård W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rosengård WWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Piteå WDLWDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rosengård WPiteå W
35.1Attack40.4
56.1Defence50.9
29.8Form40.4
41.9Power45.2
1.10xG0.99
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