Rosengårdvs
Trelleborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosengård · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosengård 3-4 Trelleborg
Original prediction
Rosengård
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.0% | 37.5% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.6% | 27.7% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.4% | 34.8% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Rosengård
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Rosengård has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80