Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosengård · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosengård 4-2 Laholm
Original prediction
Rosengård
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.4% | 42.5% | -17.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.6% | 27.7% | 6.1 pts |
| Away | 5.03 | 18.0% | 29.8% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Rosengård
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Rosengård has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RosengårdWDDDL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LaholmDLDWL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RosengårdLaholm
44.4Attack33.3
61.1Defence100.0
45.6Form100.0
51.1Power80.3
1.18xG1.08