GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rosengård · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rosengård 1-2 Kristianstad

Original prediction

Rosengård

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2240.9%52.2%11.3 pts
Draw3.5925.3%23.1%-2.2 pts
Away2.6833.9%24.8%-9.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Rosengård

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

52.2%

Rosengård has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RosengårdDDLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
KristianstadWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RosengårdKristianstad
52.6Attack38.5
52.6Defence51.3
50.0Form37.2
53.4Power44.1
1.70xG0.98
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