Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosengård · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rosengård are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while IFK Malmö are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosengård hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Svenska Cupen, while Rosengård holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rosengård
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Rosengård has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00