Rosengårdvs
Hässleholms IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosengård · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosengård 2-1 Hässleholms IF
Original prediction
Rosengård
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.5% | 39.3% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 28.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 24.1% | 32.6% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Rosengård
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Rosengård has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80