Rosengårdvs
Atvidabergs FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atvidabergs FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosengård 1-1 Atvidabergs FF
Original prediction
Atvidabergs FF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.0% | 37.8% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 22.3% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.0% | 40.0% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Atvidabergs FF
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Atvidabergs FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00