GGOALVIO

Norway · Toppserien · 9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rosenborg W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (8%), 0-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rosenborg W 4-2 Stabæk W

Original prediction

Rosenborg W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4064.2%44.9%-19.3 pts
Draw4.5119.9%23.1%3.3 pts
Away5.6315.9%31.9%16.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-19.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.0–08%

Predicted outcome

Rosenborg W

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Rosenborg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rosenborg WWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Stabæk WWWDLW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rosenborg WStabæk W
60.0Attack68.9
64.4Defence66.7
73.3Form53.3
68.4Power60.6
1.34xG1.31
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